FK Orenburg vs. FK Lokomotiv Moskva
The market currently prices “No” at 74% (74¢ per share on Polymarket). Resolves tomorrow.
Affiliate & risk disclosure. Marketss earns a commission when readers open funded accounts on the CFTC-regulated venues linked from this page. That relationship does not change our ratings, which are derived from the visible verdict on each reviewed venue page. Trading event contracts involves risk of loss: you can lose 100% of the capital you commit to a position, prediction markets are not deposit accounts, and nothing on this page is investment or legal advice. See disclaimer, methodology, and US legality by state.
Payout calculator
See exactly what a stake on this market pays out at current odds.
How we calculate payouts
Polymarket sells outcome shares between $0.01 and $0.99. Each share pays exactly $1 if its outcome resolves true, and $0 if it resolves false. The calculator on this page applies these formulas:
- Shares bought = stake ÷ share price
- Payout if you win = shares bought × $1
- Profit if you win = payout − stake
- Loss if you lose = your full stake
- Decimal odds = 1 ÷ share price
- American odds = +((1 − p) / p) × 100 when p < 0.5, else −(p / (1 − p)) × 100
- Implied probability = share price × 100%
Real fills depend on the order book, available liquidity, and any fees charged by the venue. The calculator uses the current mid-price as a quick estimate, not a quoted execution price.
US availability: live for residents of 51 states and DC. See state-by-state legality.
Tax treatment: Winnings from CFTC-regulated prediction markets are reported as ordinary income. Kalshi issues a Form 1099-B automatically; Polymarket US does not, so users must self-report gains from resolved contracts. Sports event contracts settled on Kalshi generate a Form 1099-B; state gambling reporting rules do not apply because these are federally regulated event contracts, not sportsbook wagers. Consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
How this market resolves
Prediction market FAQ: FK Orenburg vs. FK Lokomotiv Moskva
What are the current odds for FK Orenburg vs. FK Lokomotiv Moskva?
The market currently prices "No" at 74%, or 74¢ per share on Polymarket. Odds update in real time as trades hit the order book.
How does this prediction market work?
Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it happens and $0 if it does not. The current price of a share, in cents, equals the implied probability the market assigns. Right now "No" trades at 74¢, so the market thinks there is a 74% chance of it resolving true.
How much would I earn on a $100 stake?
At 74¢ a $100 stake buys 136 shares. If the market resolves in your favor you receive $136. If it does not, you lose the $100 stake.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve on August 14, 2026 once the outcome is officially confirmed by the underlying source.
Is trading this market legal?
Polymarket is not currently available to US residents due to CFTC restrictions; Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and offers a subset of these markets to US users. Marketss aggregates prices and analysis for informational purposes and does not accept wagers.