Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 31, 2026?
The market currently prices “Yes” at 60% (60¢ per share on Polymarket). Resolves 2 days.
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Payout calculator
See exactly what a stake on this market pays out at current odds.
How we calculate payouts
Polymarket sells outcome shares between $0.01 and $0.99. Each share pays exactly $1 if its outcome resolves true, and $0 if it resolves false. The calculator on this page applies these formulas:
- Shares bought = stake ÷ share price
- Payout if you win = shares bought × $1
- Profit if you win = payout − stake
- Loss if you lose = your full stake
- Decimal odds = 1 ÷ share price
- American odds = +((1 − p) / p) × 100 when p < 0.5, else −(p / (1 − p)) × 100
- Implied probability = share price × 100%
Real fills depend on the order book, available liquidity, and any fees charged by the venue. The calculator uses the current mid-price as a quick estimate, not a quoted execution price.
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How this market resolves
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Resolves YES ifBased on the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week
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Resolution sourceCDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html)
Show full rules
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Prediction market FAQ: Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 31, 2026?
What are the current odds for Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 31, 2026??
The market currently prices "Yes" at 60%, or 60¢ per share on Polymarket. Odds update in real time as trades hit the order book.
How does this prediction market work?
Each outcome is a share that pays $1 if it happens and $0 if it does not. The current price of a share, in cents, equals the implied probability the market assigns. Right now "Yes" trades at 60¢, so the market thinks there is a 60% chance of it resolving true.
How much would I earn on a $100 stake?
At 60¢ a $100 stake buys 167 shares. If the market resolves in your favor you receive $167. If it does not, you lose the $100 stake.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve on August 14, 2026 once the outcome is officially confirmed by the underlying source.
Is trading this market legal?
Polymarket is not currently available to US residents due to CFTC restrictions; Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and offers a subset of these markets to US users. Marketss aggregates prices and analysis for informational purposes and does not accept wagers.